90th Academy Award Predictions

March 4, 2018

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You know the drill…

Best Picture
Ryan’s Pick: The Shape of Water
Actual Winner: The Shape of Water

Actor in a Leading Role
Ryan’s Pick: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
Actual Winner: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

Actress in a Leading Role
Ryan’s Pick: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Actual Winner: Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Actor in a Supporting Role
Ryan’s Pick: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Actual Winner: Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Actress in a Supporting Role
Ryan’s Pick: Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Actual Winner: Allison Janney (I, Tonya)

Director
Ryan’s Pick: Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Actual Winner: Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)

Animated Feature
Ryan’s Pick: Coco
Actual Winner: Coco

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75th Annual Golden Globe Awards Predictions

January 7, 2018

(Photo by: NBC)

Haven’t posted my predictions for the Globes in a few years, probably because I just don’t care about the TV portions. Anyway, here we go.

Film

Best Motion Picture – Drama
Ryan’s Pick: The Shape of Water
Actual Winner: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama
Ryan’s Pick: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Actual Winner: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Actor – Motion Picture Drama 
Ryan’s Pick: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Actual Winner: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy 
Ryan’s Pick: Lady Bird
Actual Winner: Lady Bird

Best Actress – Motion Picture Comedy 
Ryan’s Pick: Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Actual Winner: Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Best Actor – Motion Picture Comedy ☆
Ryan’s Pick: James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Actual Winner: James Franco, The Disaster Artist

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89th Academy Awards Predictions

February 26, 2017

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Here we go! My predictions (although not necessarily my preferred winners) are listed below. ☆=Correct prediction.

Best Picture (x)
Ryan’s Prediction – La La Land
Actual Winner – Moonlight

Actor in a Leading Role ☆
Ryan’s Prediction – Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Actual Winner – Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Actress in a Leading Role ☆
Ryan’s Prediction – Emma Stone (La La Land)
Actual Winner – Emma Stone (La La Land)

Actor in a Supporting Role ☆
Ryan’s Prediction – Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Actual Winner – Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Actress in a Supporting Role – ☆
Ryan’s Prediction – Viola Davis (Fences)
Actual Winner – Viola Davis (Fences)

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Take that, random Trump supporter.

September 20, 2016

Just saw my first “Trump that Bitch” yard sign in Rockford today.

I’m guessing the guy who’s proudly displaying his complete lack of basic decency would revel in knowing that his dumb sign pissed of some bleeding-heart liberal like me.

However, I’d also like him to know that his juvenile advertisement for misogyny inspired me to do something more productive with my time and resources. So here’s $25 to each of the following organizations:

  • The League of Women Voters of Greater Rockford, whose voter registration booth outside the Hononegah High School cafeteria back in 2004 first got me registered to vote. Donate here.
  • Rock Valley College, whose Refugee and Immigrant Services program works to find employment for refugees coming to our area. Their free interpretation services for their clients has been an incredible help for me and my colleagues at work. Donate here.
  • Catholic Charities in the Diocese of Rockford, who provides numerous services for refugee and immigrant families in the Rockford area. Donate here.
  • Planned Parenthood of Illinois, who gets an incredibly unfair and undeserved reputation thanks to some idiot politicians and activists. Planned Parenthood provides crucial healthcare services for millions of people and is a great advocate for scientifically-accurate health education. Donate here.

I know it’s not much, but I hope these small donations and this self-congratulatory blog post can help bring a little bit of civility and progressivism to this election season.

Maybe there is hope…

June 9, 2016

Just wanted to share two quick videos to remind people what legitimate politicians are look like:

Now, I’m not trying to be political here. Not in a partisan way, at least. Clearly, one video is from a candidate I supported; and the other is… Paul Ryan. But both of these videos are deliberately positive, and show that these public figures understand the responsibilities they have and how they actually take their jobs seriously.

I remember a comment my dad made back during the 2008 election, when he said it was the first time he felt like he could actually call a candidate a ‘statesman’ in the way people used to refer to Eisenhower or Kennedy. It described someone who carried both a sense of authority and humility. Someone you could respect, even if you disagreed with their politics. Someone who could prompt a guy like John Wayne to say, “I didn’t vote for him, but he’s my president and I hope he does a good job.”

Unfortunately, we live in a different time. But it’s not the statesman who’s changed. They’re still there. It’s us voters who have changed. Following Watergate and an emerging 24-hour news cycle, we had an opportunity to hold our elected officials more accountable. To demand ownership of their decisions and transparency within their administrations. Instead, we just said “they’re all crooks” and “kick the bums out.” We’ve entered a decades-long downward spiral of electing angry, untrustworthy politicians, and then reacting by electing even angrier, more untrustworthy politicians.

But these two videos prove that the statesman (and arguably more importantly: the stateswoman) is still out there. Yeah, I know these are just political ads. But they’re encouraging. It’s proof that positive messages, a willingness to collaborate, and a reverence for public office are still admirable.

So to the cynics who say that these are just polished, focus group-tested propaganda pieces: you’re right. But instead of dismissing these, let’s actually start expecting our officials to live up to these ideals. Let’s stop making virtues out of ignorance and ad-hominem attacks, and make intelligence and reasoned debate the norm again. It won’t be up to the politicians to make this change. It’s up to us. If we raise our standards, the politicians will follow, and maybe someday soon we’ll actually hear someone say, “I didn’t vote for her, but she’s my president and I hope she does a good job.”


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